Procalcitonin, brain natriuretic peptide and albumin as markers to predict prognosis in hospitalized older Japanese patients with a risk of infection.

AIM: Whether serum concentration of procalcitonin (PCT), brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) and albumin (Alb) have an association with the outcome of hospitalized older patients is unclear. We investigated clinical outcomes and any predictive factors in hospitalized Japanese older patients with a risk of infection. METHODS: In the retrospective study, 820 Japanese patients were followed up for 30 days or until death. During the observation period, 656 patients survived and 164 patients died. The predictive factors of death were analyzed according to demographic and clinical variables. RESULTS: The survival rate was decreased as the serum PCT increased from <0.5 to ≥10 ng/mL, as was also the case with BNP from <300 to ≥300 pg./mL, whereas low Alb (<2.5 g/dL) showed a lower survival rate than high Alb (≥2.5 g/dL; P < 0.01). Using the Cox regression model, the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) were as follows: PCT 0.5-2 versus <0.5 ng/mL: 1.61(1.04-2.49), PCT 2-10 versus <0.5 ng/mL: 1.91(1.15-3.16), PCT ≥10 versus <0.5 ng/mL: 2.90(1.84-4.59), high BNP 1.26 (0.89-1.76) and low Alb 0.68 (0.52-0.87). The mortality rate increased as the number of scores (PCT + BNP + Alb) increased. CONCLUSIONS: Concentration-dependent high PCT, high BNP and low Alb were positive risk factors associated with poor prognosis in hospitalized older patients with a risk of infection. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2024; ••: ••-••.

How We Interpret Thrombosis with Thrombocytopenia Syndrome?

Platelets play an important role in hemostasis, and a low platelet count usually increases the risk of bleeding. Conditions in which thrombosis occurs despite low platelet counts are referred to as thrombosis with thrombocytopenia syndrome, including heparin-induced thrombocytopenia, vaccine-induced immune thrombotic thrombocytopenia, paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria, antiphospholipid syndrome, thrombotic microangiopathy (TMA), and disseminated intravascular coagulation. TMA includes thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura, Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli-associated hemolytic uremic syndrome (HUS), and atypical HUS. Patients with these pathologies present with thrombosis and consumptive thrombocytopenia associated with the activation of platelets and the coagulation system. Treatment varies from disease to disease, and many diseases have direct impacts on mortality and organ prognosis if therapeutic interventions are not promptly implemented. Underlying diseases and the results of physical examinations and general laboratory tests as part of a thorough workup for patients should promptly lead to therapeutic intervention before definitive diagnosis. For some diseases, the diagnosis and initial treatment must proceed in parallel. Utilization of not only laboratory tests but also various scoring systems is important for validating therapeutic interventions based on clinical information.

Application of transition-edge sensors for micro-X-ray fluorescence measurements and micro-X-ray absorption near edge structure spectroscopy: a case study of uranium speciation in biotite obtained from a uranium mine.

In this study, we successfully applied a transition-edge sensor (TES) spectrometer as a detector for microbeam X-ray measurements from a synchrotron X-ray light source in the hard X-ray region to determine uranium (U) distribution at the micro-scale and its chemical species in biotite obtained from a U mine. It is difficult to separate the fluorescent X-ray of the U Lα1 line at 13.615 keV from that of the Rb Kα line at 13.395 keV in the X-ray fluorescence spectrum with an energy resolution of approximately 220 eV using a conventional silicon drift detector (SDD). Meanwhile, the fluorescent X-rays of U Lα1 and Rb Kα were fully separated by a TES with 50 eV energy resolution at an energy of around 13 keV. The successful peak separation by the TES led to an accurate mapping analysis of trace U in micro-X-ray fluorescence measurements and a decrease in the signal-to-background ratio in micro-X-ray absorption near edge structure spectroscopy. Thus, it could be a powerful tool for studying the U distribution and speciation in various environmental samples.

Photodynamic therapy with talaporfin sodium for endoscopically unresectable gastric cancer using a novel simultaneous light-emitting method.

We describe a case of gastric cancer treated by photodynamic therapy (PDT) with talaporfin sodium using a novel simultaneous light-emitting method. An 82-year-old man was diagnosed with gastric cancer near the cardia with suspected deep submucosal invasion. Surgical resection was deemed high-risk owing to an underlying pulmonary disease. After ruling out endoscopic procedures due to intense fibrosis resulting from the scarring, PDT with talaporfin sodium was chosen. PDT was successfully conducted using an endoscope with simultaneous light emission. The patient experienced a complete response to the treatment and showed no signs of recurrence during follow-up. This case highlights the potential of PDT with talaporfin sodium as a viable alternative for challenging cases, particularly in patients unsuitable for surgery and endoscopic resection. Furthermore, the novel simultaneous light-emitting method may improve the efficiency of the procedure. This case demonstrates the potential of PDT in gastric cancer treatment, especially for high-risk patients.

Gastroduodenitis Associated with Active Ulcerative Colitis Treated with Infliximab: Different Clinical Course in the Colon and Gastroduodenal Lesions.

A 29-year-old man with severe ulcerative colitis and gastroduodenitis was initially treated with oral mesalamine and high-dose intravenous steroid therapy; however, his epigastralgia and vomiting did not improve. After initiating infliximab, the patient experienced prompt improvement in symptoms and inflammation. Although steroids were effective for the colon, they proved ineffective for gastroduodenal lesions, highlighting the necessity for molecular-targeted agents, such as infliximab, in these cases. The timing for administering such agents should be carefully considered.

Characteristics of right pulmonary vein with an epicardial connection needing additional carina ablation for isolation.

Background: This study thought to elucidate the anatomical features that can predict an epicardial connection (EC) between the right pulmonary vein (RPV) and right atrium. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 251 consecutive patients undergoing initial radiofrequency pulmonary vein isolation. We defined EC as present when RPV could not be isolated with circumferential ablation and additional ablation for the conduction gap if needed, and RPV isolation could be achieved by ablation for the earliest activation site >10 mm inside the initial ablation line. Using computed tomography data, we evaluated the RPV bifurcation angle, and the area occupation ratio of the carina region to the RPV antrum (ARC) for predicting EC. In subjects with EC undergoing RPV activation mapping after circumferential ablation, the correlation between conduction delay and bipolar/unipolar potential voltage in the carina region was investigated. Results: There were ECs in 45 out of 251 patients (17.9%). The RPV bifurcation angle (47.7° vs. 38.8°, p < .001) and ARC (37.2% vs. 29.7%, p < .001) were significantly greater in the EC (+) group. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that RPV bifurcation angle (odds ratio [OR]: 1.994, p = .002) and ARC (OR: 3.490, p = .013) were independent predictors of EC. In nine patients with EC undergoing carina region mapping, the unipolar potential voltage was correlated with conduction delay in RPV with EC (R = -0.401, p < .001). Conclusion: Anatomical features suggesting a wider RPV carina region could predict the presence of EC, and potential with high voltage could be helpful for detecting EC connection sites.

Novel Utility of Leucine-Rich Alpha-2-Glycoprotein as a Biomarker in Ulcerative Colitis: A Predictor of Endoscopic Remission Independent of Symptoms.

Introduction: Leucine-rich alpha-2-glycoprotein (LRG) is a potential biomarker for disease activity and reflects mucosal healing in patients with ulcerative colitis (UC). However, only a few studies have described a detailed sensitivity analysis of LRG in predicting mucosal healing in patients. This study aimed to evaluate the association between LRG and the endoscopic activity of UC and its predictability for mucosal healing and explore the utility and clinical application of LRG. Methods: The diagnostic accuracy of biomarkers, including LRG, in predicting the endoscopic activity of UC was evaluated. All consecutive patients who underwent total colonoscopy between April 2021 and September 2022 were included. The Mayo endoscopic subscore (MES) was used for assessing endoscopic activity. Furthermore, endoscopic remission was defined as an MES of ≤1. Clinical activity was evaluated based on stool frequency and bloody stool. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and binary logistic regression were performed to assess the diagnostic accuracy of the biomarkers. We evaluated LRG trends and treatment response in patients with MES ≥2 who underwent induction therapy. Results: This study comprised 214 patients. The proportions of endoscopically and clinically active patients were 33.6% and 49.1%, respectively. LRG had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.856, with a higher diagnostic accuracy than other biomarkers, such as C-reactive protein, leukocyte, neutrophil, platelet, and albumin. The cutoff value for LRG was 15.6 µg/mL (sensitivity, 72.2%; specificity, 86.6%). Using the MES, patients with higher scores had higher LRG levels than those with lower scores. The cutoff value, AUC, sensitivity, and specificity varied with a higher AUC for left-sided colitis and pancolitis than for proctitis. Logistic regression analysis showed that LRG was an independent predictor of endoscopic remission using multivariate analysis, even with the factor of clinical activity. The change ratio of LRG pre- and post-treatment was statistically significant in the higher LRG group. Conclusion: LRG reflected endoscopic activity independently, regardless of clinical symptoms. An LRG below the cutoff value could indicate a significantly low probability of endoscopic activity in asymptomatic patients, and follow-up endoscopy (not for cancer screening) may be unnecessary. Furthermore, a higher LRG level might be more useful as an indicator of treatment efficacy.

Post-allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation Portal Hypertension Not Associated with Liver Cirrhosis, Veno-occlusive Disease, or Graft-versus-host Disease: A Case Report.

We herein report a rare case of idiopathic portal hypertension (IPH)-like disease that developed after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT). A 53-year-old woman who underwent allo-HSCT for acute myeloid leukemia showed portal hypertension with radiological and histopathological findings consistent with IPH, distinct from veno-occlusive disease (VOD) and graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) of the liver. This case highlights the importance of considering IPH-like disease as a potential cause of portal hypertension after allo-HSCT. Awareness of this complication can aid in the early diagnosis and appropriate management of patients post allo-HSCT.

Utility of short-time electrocardiogram to assess risk for atrial arrhythmia recurrence: Impact of atrial premature beat occurrence 1 day after pulmonary vein isolation for atrial fibrillation.

INTRODUCTION: Atrial premature beats (APBs) are the trigger for atrial fibrillation (AF). We sought to investigate the clinical significance of APB occurrence 1 day after pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) for AF using a short-time electrocardiogram. METHODS: A total of 206 patients undergoing PVI for paroxysmal AF were included. Electrocardiogram recording for 100 consecutive beats was performed 1 day after PVI. The patients were divided into two groups: those with reproducible APBs (≥1 beat) during reassessment (APB group, n = 49) or those without (non-APB group, n = 157). Late recurrence was defined as atrial tachyarrhythmia recurrence 3-12 months after PVI. The impact of APB occurrence on outcomes was investigated. RESULTS: Late recurrence occurred in 19 patients (9.2%). The presence of low-voltage areas, left atrial volume, and recurrence rate were higher in the APB group than in the non-APB group. In the APB group, the patients with recurrence had lower prematurity index (PI, coupling interval of APB/previous cycle length) compared to those without. Receiver-operating characteristic analysis revealed PI (<59.3) to be a predictive factor of recurrence (area under the curve: 0.733). The study subjects were then reclassified into three groups according to the absence of APB occurrence (n = 157), presence thereof with PI ≥ 59.3 (n = 33), and presence with PI < 59.3 (n = 16). The multivariate Cox models revealed that APB with PI < 59.3 was an independent predictor for recurrence (hazard ratio, 8.735; p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: A short-time electrocardiogram enables risk assessment for arrhythmia recurrence, and APB with low PI 1 day after PVI is a powerful predictor.

Clinical Outcomes of Follow-Up Observation After Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection for Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Invading the Muscularis Mucosa Without Lymphovascular Involvement.

BACKGROUND: The therapeutic approach after endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) diagnosed as pathological T1a-muscularis mucosa (pT1a-MM) without lymphovascular involvement (LVI) remains uncertain. We aimed to determine whether observation after ESD is acceptable for patients without LVI showing pT1a-MM cancer. METHODS: We retrospectively registered 566 ESCC patients who were treated with ESD at ten institutions between January 2007 and December 2015. Of those, 447 cases showing pT1a-epithelium/lamina propria mucosa (EP/LPM) without LVI and vertical margin (VM) (EP/LPM group), and 41 cases showing pT1a-MM without LVI and VM (MM group) were analyzed in this investigation. The clinical outcomes were assessed between the groups. RESULTS: The 5 year cumulative incidence of metastatic recurrence was 0.5% and 3.3% in the EP/LPM and MM groups, respectively (P = 0.121). Two cases showing pT1a-EP/LPM and one showing pT1a-MM experienced lymph node recurrence. The 5 year cumulative incidence of local recurrence was 1.5% and 3.8% in the EP/LPM and MM groups, respectively (P = 0.455). The 5 year disease-specific survival (DSS) rate was 99.3% and 96.6% in the EP/LPM and MM groups, respectively (P = 0.118), whereas the 5 year overall survival rate was significantly higher in the EP/LPM group than in the MM group (92.6% versus 81.1%, respectively; P = 0.021). CONCLUSIONS: As regards metastatic recurrence and DSS, ESCC patients with pT1a-MM without LVI showed favorable outcomes that were equivalent to those with pT1a-EP/LPM, even when they were not treated with additional therapy after ESD.

Distinguishing immune-mediated thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura from septic disseminated intravascular coagulation using plasma levels of haptoglobin and factor XIII activity.

Background: Both immune-mediated thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura (iTTP) and septic disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) are life-threatening disorders developed by platelet-consuming microvascular thrombi and necessitate immediate therapeutic interventions. Although severe deficiencies of plasma haptoglobin in iTTP and factor XIII (FXIII) activity in septic DIC have been reported, few studies have focused on the possibility of using these markers to distinguish between iTTP and septic DIC. Objectives: We investigated whether the plasma levels of haptoglobin and FXIII activity could be helpful for differential diagnosis. Methods: Thirty-five patients with iTTP and 30 with septic DIC were enrolled in the study. Patient characteristics, coagulation, and fibrinolytic markers were collected from the clinical data. Plasma haptoglobin and FXIII activities were measured using chromogenic Enzyme-Linked Immuno Sorbent Assay and an automated instrument, respectively. Results: The median plasma haptoglobin level was 0.39 mg/dL and 54.20 mg/dL in the iTTP and septic DIC groups, respectively. The median plasma FXIII activities were 91.3% and 36.3% in the iTTP and septic DIC groups, respectively. In the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the cutoff level of plasma haptoglobin was 2.868 mg/dL and the area under the curve was 0.832. The cutoff level for plasma FXIII activity and the area under the curve were 76.0% and 0.931, respectively. The thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura (TTP)/DIC index was defined by FXIII activity (percentage) and haptoglobin (milligrams per decilitre). Laboratory TTP was defined as an index ≥60 and laboratory DIC <60. The sensitivity and specificity of the TTP/DIC index were 94.3% and 86.7%, respectively. Conclusion: The TTP/DIC index, composed of plasma levels of haptoglobin and FXIII activity, is useful in differentiating iTTP from septic DIC.

High-sensitive XANES analysis at Ce L2-edge for Ce in bauxites using transition-edge sensors: Implications for Ti-rich geological samples.

Accurate determination of cerium (Ce) valence state is important for interpreting the Ce anomaly in geological archives for (paleo)redox reconstruction. However, the routine application of Ce L3-edge X-ray absorption near-edge structure (XANES) spectroscopy for detecting trace Ce in geological samples can often be restricted by coexisting titanium (Ti) due to the proximity of their fluorescence emission lines. Therefore, the signal-to-noise ratio of Ce L3-edge XANES spectra may not be sufficiently high for high-quality spectroscopic analysis. This study introduces a semi-quantitative approach appropriate for Ti-rich, Ce-dilute geological materials by synchrotron-based X-ray measurement at the Ce L2-edge. First, the results confirm that Ce L2-edge XANES spectra are able to avoid overlapping Ti Kß emissions and provide more reliable information on the Ce valence state in Ti-rich materials relative to L3-edge XANES. Moreover, the application of transition-edge sensor (TES) could reach the higher sensitivity with better energy resolution than conventional silicon drift detector (SDD) to detect fluorescence X-ray (Ce Lß1). The investigation on bauxites developed from the Columbia River Basalts shows that combining Ce L2-edge XANES and TES allows for resolving weak Ce fluorescence lines at the L2-edge from Ti-rich, Ce-dilute samples (Ti/Ce mass ratio up to ∼6000, tens of ppm Ce). The outcome emphasizes the practical possibility of investigating Ce redox state in Ti-rich geological samples.

Left atrial epicardial adipose tissue exacerbates electrical conduction disturbance in normal-weight patients undergoing pulmonary vein isolation for atrial fibrillation.

INTRODUCTION: Epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) exacerbates both electrical and structural remodeling in obese atrial fibrillation (AF) patients, but the impacts of EAT on atrial arrhythmogenicity remain unclear in normal-weight AF patients. Therefore, we sought to investigate this issue using electroanatomic mapping. METHODS AND RESULTS: We enrolled drug-refractory 105 paroxysmal AF patients in the normal body mass index range (18.5-24.9 kg/m2 ), who had undergone electroanatomic mapping after pulmonary vein isolation (PVI). One day before PVI, we assessed P-wave duration in a 12-lead electrocardiogram and left atrial (LA)-EAT volumes using contrast-enhanced computed tomography. The patients were divided into two groups based on the median LA-EAT volume (16.0 ml); the high LA-EAT group (≥16.0 ml, n = 53) and low LA-EAT group (<16.0 ml, n = 52). We compared P-wave duration, LA conduction velocity and bipolar voltage, the presence of low-voltage zone (<0.5 mV), and LA volume index on echocardiography between the two groups. The LA bipolar voltage, low-voltage zone, and LA volume index were not different between the high and low LA-EAT groups. However, P-wave duration was significantly longer in the high group than in the low group (p < .001). Additionally, the LA conduction velocity was significantly more depressed in the high group than in the low group (p < .001). Multivariate linear regression analysis revealed that LA-EAT volume was correlated with P-wave duration (ß = .367, p < .001) and conduction velocity (ß = -.566, p < .001), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Increased LA-EAT volumes were associated with electrical conduction disturbance after PVI in normal-weight patients with AF. P-wave duration may be a clinically useful predictor of LA-EAT.

Risk and prognostic factors of invasive gastric cancer detection during surveillance endoscopy: Multi-institutional cross-sectional study.

OBJECTIVES: Esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) is important for the detection of curable gastric cancer (GC). However, there are no appropriate surveillance data during routine endoscopic inspections. This study aimed to clarify the risk factors of pT1b or deeper GC detection during surveillance endoscopy. METHODS: This was a retrospective, multicenter, cross-sectional study conducted in 15 Japanese hospitals. We retrospectively analyzed patients with GC who had previously undergone surveillance endoscopy at each institution from January 2014 to March 2020. Patients who had undergone gastrectomy, non-infection of Helicobacter pylori (Hp), and those with intervals <3 months or >10 years from a previous endoscopy were excluded. RESULTS: In total, 1085 patients with GCs detected during surveillance endoscopy were enrolled. The multivariate logistic analysis revealed that current Hp infection (odds ratio [OR] 2.18; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.50-3.16) and a surveillance interval of >1.5 years (OR 1.96; 95% CI 1.35-2.84) were independent risk factors for pT1b or deeper GC. The 5-year disease-specific survival (5y-DSS) rate of GC was significantly lower in patients with surveillance interval of >1.5 years than in those with surveillance interval of ≤1.5 years (93.7% vs. 98.3%, P < 0.001). Similarly, the 5y-DSS rate of GC was significantly lower in patients with active Hp infection than in those without (93.7% vs. 99.4%, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: In this study, a surveillance interval of >1.5 years and current Hp infection were independent risk factors for detecting pT1b or deeper GC. Additionally, these factors were poor prognostic factors of the detected GC during surveillance endoscopy.

Effect of Anticoagulant/Antifibrinolytic Combination Therapy on Enhanced Fibrinolytic-Type Disseminated Intravascular Coagulation in End-of-Life Stage Solid Tumor Patients.

Thrombotic disorders such as venous thromboembolism and disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) are known complications of solid tumors. To date, no reports have described the treatment of enhanced fibrinolytic-type DIC caused by end-of-life stage solid tumors. We encountered three cases of end-of-life stage solid tumors complicated by enhanced fibrinolytic-type DIC with severe bleeding symptoms. In all three cases, bleeding symptoms improved dramatically after intervention for enhanced fibrinolytic-type DIC with heparin(s) and tranexamic acid. Improvements in abnormal coagulation test results were also seen and the need for platelet concentrate transfusion and fresh frozen plasma infusion was able to be eliminated. However, one patient developed multiple cerebral infarctions. In the future, further studies to investigate the need for intervention in enhanced fibrinolytic-type DIC caused by end-of-life stage solid tumors and suitable treatment strategies are warranted.

Efficacy of a novel self-expandable metal stent with dumbbell-shaped flare ends for distal biliary obstruction due to unresectable pancreatic cancer.

This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of a novel fully covered self-expandable metal stent (SEMS) with dumbbell-shaped flare ends for the palliation of distal biliary obstruction (DBO) due to unresectable pancreatic cancer (UPC). Patients with DBO due to UPC who received the novel HILZO fully covered stent (HFS), the WALLFLEX partially covered stent (WPS) or fully covered stent (WFS) were analyzed. The incidence of recurrent biliary obstruction (RBO), time to RBO (TRBO), and the incidence of complications were compared among the three SEMS groups. Eighty-four patients (HFS, n = 36; WPS, n = 20; WFS, n = 28) were included. The incidence of RBO was low in the HFS group (versus the WPS and WFS group, p = 0.033 and 0.023, respectively). TRBO in the HFS group was longer than that in the WFS group (p = 0.049). Placement of the HFS was an independent factor for long TRBO in multivariable analysis (p = 0.040). The incidence of pancreatitis and cholecystitis in the HFS group was low (one for each). It is recommended to use the HFS for the palliation of DBO due to UPC from the viewpoint of the low incidence of RBO and complications.

The Impact of Tofogliflozin on Physiological and Hormonal Function, Serum Electrolytes, and Cardiac Diastolic Function in Elderly Japanese Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus.

The sodium glucose transporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitor tofogliflozin is a glucose-lowering drug that causes the excretion of surplus glucose by inhibiting SGLT2. Because of tofogliflozin's osmotic diuresis mechanism, patients' serum electrolytes, body fluid levels, and cardiac function must be monitored. We retrospectively analyzed the cases of 64 elderly Japanese patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) who received tofogliflozin for 3 months. Their HbA1c, serum electrolytes (sodium, potassium, chloride), hematocrit, brain natriuretic peptide (cardiac volume load marker) and renin and aldosterone (RAA; an index of regulatory hormones involved in body fluid retention) were continuously monitored during the investigation period. Renal function and cardiac function (by echocardiography) were assessed throughout the period. HbA1c significantly decreased (ß1=-0.341, p<0.0001, linear regression analysis [LRA]). Most of the hormonal, electrolyte, and physiological parameters were maintained throughout the study period. In these circumstances, E/e' tended to decrease (ß1=-0.382, p=0.13, LRA). Compared to the baseline, E/e' was significantly decreased at 1 and 3 months (p<0.01, p<0.05). In the higher E/e' group (E/e'≥10, n=34), E/e' decreased significantly (ß1=-0.63, p<0.05, LRA). ΔE/e' was correlated with body-weight change during treatment (r=0.64, p<0.01). The 3-month tofogliflozin treatment improved glycemic control and diastolic function represented by E/e' in T2DM patients, without affecting serum electrolytes, renal function, or RAA. No negative impacts on the patients were observed. Three-month tofogliflozin treatment lowered glucose and improved cardiac diastolic function.

A new predictive tool consolidating CURB-65 with procalcitonin and albumin to assess short-term mortality in hospitalized elderly patients with infectious disease: A retrospective study of a patient cohort.

BACKGROUND: Hospitalized elderly patients are often at risk of life-threatening infectious diseases such as pneumonia and urinary tract infection, thus diagnostic tools for bacterial infections are demanded. We developed a new predictive tool consolidating modified CURB-65, procalcitonin (PCT) and albumin (Alb). METHOD: This is a retrospective study. Modified CURB-65 (mCURB-65) score, PCT, Alb, and various cardiovascular/respiratory/renal functions were measured. Survival analyses were conducted to assess 30-days mortality of elderly patients using mCURB-65 score, PCT and Alb. The consolidated scores were compared with the number of patients died. RESULTS: There were 445 elderly patients included. Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed significant differences between the high and low groups of mCURB-65, PCT and Alb (log-rank test, P < .001). Cox proportional regression showed that the hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for high mCURB-65, high Alb, and high PCT were all significant, 1.95 (1.24-3.05), 0.50 (0.32-0.77), and 2.09 (1.32-3.31), respectively. The consolidated scores showed tendency of increase with proportion of the number of patients died. CONCLUSIONS: The consolidated score consisted of mCURB-65, PCT and Alb can be a useful tool to predict short-term mortality of the hospitalized elderly patients with infectious disease.